STEP AND STAIRWAY
PATTERN
By Daryl Guppy
The
step and stairway pattern is created by a series of support and
resistance areas. Sometimes these may be a well defined line. At
other times, as shown in the diagram, these may be narrow
support/resistance bands.
The first
feature of the pattern is the way the price breaks above the lower
resistance area and moves up to the next resistance area. This is followed
by retreat and rebound activity that uses the lower resistance area as a
support area.
The pattern
develops when the market moves above the second resistance area and tests
the third resistance area. The retreat from this third resistance area uses
the second and now lower, resistance area as a support level. In this sense
the price climbs a series of steps. However this step pattern does not
create a stairway or a trend.

The
stairway is created by the points of rebound from each support area
immediately prior to a successful breakout of the next resistance level.
These lower points are joined with an up sloping trend line. This defines
the position of the trend. The market may move sideways for an extended
period inside a step until it hits the trend line. Then traders expect to
see a successful breakout above the next resistance level,. This is the
pattern that creates the stairway.
The step
and stairway pattern underpins a very reliable trend breakout. It is
sometimes called a stairway to heaven because the trend reliability is
excellent.
A more complex
pattern development may include up sloping triangles. These are a chart
pattern that forms above a strong up trend. The pattern starts with a sharp
rise over several days above the trend line. Over the next few days, or
weeks, price move between the trend line and the initial high. This creates
an up sloping triangle that uses the main trend line as its sloping base.
The next breakout in the pattern usually starts as the triangle pattern is
almost completed. It is a sharp rise over a day, or several days. It usually
confirms the price projection targets of the first triangle. Again prices
drop back from the high, testing the trend line, and the high point of this
second move. A new, small up sloping triangle develops. This is the second
step in the staircase.
The height of the next step is projected from the new triangle.
Additionally, the combined height of the first two steps is projected
upwards to set a major target. In a strong trend there many be 4 or 6 steps,
or more that develop to complete the staircase. After each step the first
target is the height on the most recent triangle. The upper target is the
combined height of the two most recent triangles.
The pattern finishes when the step pattern is disrupted by a gap pattern.
This is like a missing step in the sequence and signals the top of the
pattern. This is an exit signal. Another exit signal is when the step failed
to move upwards in a continuation of pattern. This signals traders to take
the best exit possible, and this is usually confirmed by closes below the
major trend line.
The pattern is discussed in more
detail in CHART
TRADING.
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